Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "
Market information: The major shareholders of Hershey, an American chocolate manufacturer, will reject the takeover proposal of Yizi International, thinking that the other party's offer is too low.US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and US natural gas futures rose 6% in the day, and are now reported at $3.353 per million British heat.Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)
An explosion occurred in a tanker in Shenyang. Officially, one person was scalded. At about 7: 45 on December 12, an explosion occurred in a tanker on the north side of the intersection of Lane 166 of Fengyang Road and Xiangbai Road in Sujiatun District, Shenyang. It was preliminarily determined that the gas flash caused by the volatilization of the residual antirust paint in the tank was caused by the improper operation of the driver, and the relevant departments were on the scene at the first time to deal with it. One person was scalded by the accident, and he was sent to the hospital for treatment, which was not life-threatening. The specific reasons are under further investigation. (released by Sujiatun)Hong Kong Stock Exchange: Before the end of 2025, the system will be technically compatible with the T+1 settlement cycle. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange announced on December 12 that it will launch a plan to improve the post-trading service of the stock spot market. Starting from mid-2025, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange will gradually introduce new post-trading functions on its OCP. The new functions include automatic report downloading and information exchange, real-time transmission and processing of transaction data, related positions and reference data, and real-time delivery instruction pairing. As part of the whole platform upgrade plan, HKEx will ensure that its system is technically compatible with the T+1 settlement cycle by the end of 2025. However, what kind of settlement cycle will be adopted in Hong Kong in the future will be decided after market discussion.Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14